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To: "'Nguyen, Mike'" <Mikey@college.ucla.edu>
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From: "Loren Morlan" <gmorlan@tampabay.rr.com>
Sender: MetaTrader_Experts_and_Indicators@yahoogroups.com
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Date: Sat, 12 Dec 2009 11:34:59 -0500
Subject: [MT_E and I] RE: Programmer for Your indicator
Reply-To: MetaTrader_Experts_and_Indicators@yahoogroups.com
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Hi Mike,

=20

=93Elliott Wave Principle=94 by Prechter is necessary for an understanding =
of
the EW cycle and our work now for an indicator which may be able to identif=
y
some of the EWs.

=20

I attach a daily chart of Cable.

=20

Point X, at which the EW count begins is identified by a specific series of
different divergences.  This point may not be confirmed until subsequent to
the low of Wave 2.=20=20

=20

Fractal highs and lows will be used in all divergence issues.  I use Stoch.
because it is best in my opinion for this purpose although I also look at
MACD but do not include that indicator in this discussion.

=20

The indicator must remember the Stoch.  values at fractal highs and lows as
noted on this chart for all divergences recognition functions.    You shoul=
d
be familiar with both classic and reverse divergences and their
implications.  If you need articles pertaining to each please advise and I
will forward.  In this regard I have posted separate articles by Pring and
Star and they are available in the files section of the MT4 board.       =
=20

=20

The first RND recognizes a lower fractal price at Wave 1 high while the
indicator value is higher than the next previous fractal price high, marked
on chart.  Thereafter price moves lower to a fractal low higher, point 2
than the fractal low at point X.    Point 2 low is compared to a prior
higher fractal low to the left of point X, and results in a CPD.  These two
different divergences identify  Wave 2 low and confirm point X as the
starting point of a new EW cycle in this period.  Wave 2 low introduces the
probable longest Wave 3.  Wave 3 is the most frequently and extended wave a=
s
shown here, although not always.

=20

Wave 3 fractal high will always result in the highest Stoch. value in the E=
W
cycle.  An indicator must remember Stoch. values during the complete EW
cycle.  Extended Wave 3 or 5 will always result in a CND as noted in this
chart.  During Wave 3 formation Stoch values will ordinarily remain at or
above its 20 line.  An obvious problem is that the highest Stoch. value may
only be determined as a  historical event which does not necessary mean the
high price value.  Often price moves higher subsequent to the highest Stoch=
value.

=20

Wave 4 low generally reports a Stoch. value below its 20 line but not
always.  Generally there is a RPD at 4 low as shown in this example.  This
divergences introduced  Wave 5.  Ordinarily Wave 5 price high is higher tha=
n
Wave 3 price high but not always.  There must  always be a CND between Wave
3 and 5.  Stoch value at Wave 3 high must always be higher than Wave B
Stoch. value.

=20

There are 4 corrective patterns, the easiest to recognize is a zig zag, A, =
B
and C pattern (waves 6, 7 and 8).  There are other much more difficult
corrective patterns which in my view cannot be programmed.  This price
pattern suggests that we will see a combination double or triple zig zag
correction, one that cannot be programmed.=20=20

=20

The first 5 waves are easiest to recognize.  The last 3 or more corrective
wave patterns are impossible to program because of their uncertainty in my
opinion.

=20

In this chart I am long during expected Wave B.  This Wave should not be
traded unless the trader closely monitors a long position.  As a general
proposition Wave B is to be avoided since it is a false rally.

=20

The best that any indicator can do is historically document certain points
in the EW cycle except for Wave 2 low.    A trader can make a good living
trading only wave 3 in various pairs.  Generally one or more pairs is
somewhere in wave 3 on a daily or weekly basis.  If your indicator does
nothing more than identify Wave 2 low it will be a success.  Thank you for
your interest in coding this indicator.

=20

Loren

=20

=20

From: Nguyen, Mike [mailto:Mikey@college.ucla.edu]=20
Sent: Friday, December 11, 2009 1:26 AM
To: Loren Morlan
Subject: RE: Programmer for Your indicator

=20

Hi Loren,

=20

I definitely understand what you are talking about. Trying to determine whe=
n
a wave start or end can be very subjective, depending on who you ask. I've
often thought about where to start, how to programmatically approximate the
beginning/ending of a wave and which wave it is. I think counting backwards
from the current bar to detect the first instance of Waves 3, 5, A, and C i=
s
a good start, it will help remove the subjectivity.=20

=20

Do you think programmatically calculating the peaks and valleys of the AO i=
s
a good approximation? Or should I start looking at the indicator you sent
out before, the 3_level_ZZ_semafor_TRO_Modified_version.mq4 indicator? When
you eyeball the 3_level_zz indicator, is it accurate enough? Maybe we can
use this to start out from?

=20

Mike

=20

=20

=20

=20

  _____=20=20

From: Loren Morlan [mailto:gmorlan@tampabay.rr.com]=20
Sent: Wednesday, December 09, 2009 9:37 AM
To: Nguyen, Mike
Subject: RE: Programmer for Your indicator

Hello Mike,

Thank you for the offer, I will think about this issue.

=20

As you have noted in my charts I use Elliott Wave analysis to trade Waves 3=
,
5, A and C in various time periods.  I do not think it is possible to
accurately capture this analysis in an indicator.  I do however think it is
possible to identify the lows of Wave 2 and 4, both of which introduce the
best two motive waves for trading in the initial EW cycle.   It is much mor=
e
difficult for an indicator to trade the corrective patterns subsequent to
Wave 5.=20=20

=20

Traders often limit trading to only Wave 3 and 5.=20=20

=20

If you have any interest in such an indicator please advise.

Loren

=20

From: Nguyen, Mike [mailto:Mikey@college.ucla.edu]=20
Sent: Tuesday, December 08, 2009 6:27 PM
To: gmorlan@tampabay.rr.com
Subject: Programmer for Your indicator

=20

Hi Loren,

=20

I feel you=92ve freely shared your knowledge and I=92ve learned a lot from
reading your emails. The least I can do is try to reciprocate and offer to
program your indicator (to give back what I can).=20

=20

I work at UCLA and have a BS in computer science. I=92ve been developing on
the MT4 platform for about 3 years, have written several COT indicators (an=
d
its own web service to power those indicators), my own news indicator, and =
a
dozen other indicators. If you feel that you want a indicator written to
your specifications, we can have a conference call and try to make that
happen (free of charge of course).

=20

Please let me know if you are interested, I would like to help where I can.

=20

Happy Holidays,

=20

Mike

=20

=20

=20

=20

=20

=20

=20

From: MetaTrader_Experts_and_Indicators@yahoogroups.com
[mailto:MetaTrader_Experts_and_Indicators@yahoogroups.com] On Behalf Of
Loren Morlan
Sent: Friday, December 04, 2009 1:08 PM
To: MetaTrader_Experts_and_Indicators@yahoogroups.com
Subject: RE: [MT_E and I] EUR/USD, 12/2/09, Elliott Wave and divergence
analysis

=20

=20=20

Sometimes discrete stocks, gold and other commodities.  No, I have no
regular blog except this board and the divergence board.=20=20

=20

I do not know enough about coding or the abilities of a programmer to
express an opinion re an  indicator.  It would however seem to me that
anything I can do mechanically can be reproduced by a programmer.  Since I
know how to analyze/trade I am not going to pay a programmer to reduce this
method to an indicator.

=20

Loren

=20

From: MetaTrader_Experts_and_Indicators@yahoogroups.com
[mailto:MetaTrader_Experts_and_Indicators@yahoogroups.com] On Behalf Of
Peter Wu
Sent: Friday, December 04, 2009 2:03 PM
To: MetaTrader_Experts_and_Indicators@yahoogroups.com
Subject: RE: [MT_E and I] EUR/USD, 12/2/09, Elliott Wave and divergence
analysis

=20

=20=20

Loren,

=20

Your EW analysis is dead-on. Great work! Do you have a blog for people to
reference? Also, do you analyze the stock market? Wish your knowledge and
skills can be implemented into an indicator.

=20

Regards,

Peter

=20

  _____=20=20

From: MetaTrader_Experts_and_Indicators@yahoogroups.com
[mailto:MetaTrader_Experts_and_Indicators@yahoogroups.com] On Behalf Of
Loren Morlan
Sent: Wednesday, December 02, 2009 2:02 PM
To: Divergence@yahoogroups.com
Subject: [MT_E and I] EUR/USD, 12/2/09, Elliott Wave and divergence analysi=
s

=20

=20=20

Multiple period charts are attached.

=20

Monthly Elliott Wave analysis is most important because it controls EW coun=
t
in shorter periods.   Whenever a truncated EW pattern is observed it is
because a longer period has prevented the shorter pattern completion.

=20

The stochastic oscillator is used in these chart examples although other
oscillators like RSI, CCI, MACD may also be used.

=20

Point  =93X=94 cannot  be confirmed as the low until subsequent to point 2 =
of
the Elliott wave cycle.  There must always be a pattern of RND and CPD to
identify a trend change incident to a new Elliott wave cycle.  The first RN=
D
at the high of impulse Wave 1 identifies aggressive buying activity of long
traders incident to a new EW cycle.  This RND suggests lower price incident
to formation of corrective Wave 2 fractal low which generates a CPD
suggesting higher price incident to impulse Wave 3.  Wave 3 is typically th=
e
longest but is never the shortest Wave.=20=20

=20

Wave 3 is the most often extended wave but not in this example.  Wave 3
always has the highest oscillator value and later forms CNDs between Wave 5
and B highs which are present in this chart.  Often Stochastic remains abov=
e
its 40 line during Wave 3 formation as shown in this example.   Corrective
Wave 4 fractal low is identified when oscillator values fall at or below 20
and form a RPD, an introduction to impulse Wave 5.   Wave 5 (Stochastic
values above its 40 line) formed a double top and CND introducing impulse
Wave A which is corrective of the prior up cycle starting at point X.
Like Wave 4, oscillator values fall at or below the 20 line and form the
neck line of the upright head and shoulder pattern being traced currently.
Although not marked there is another RPD at A low and a previous lower low
which suggests higher price incident to formation of corrective wave B, the
high of which is not yet conclusively identified.  It is possible that pric=
e
will test Fibonacci 78.6 at 1.52443 or higher including another double or
triple top at Wave 5 high.=20=20

=20

The most recent HA candle traces a green bar within the body of the candle,
with a current close higher than its open.  Stochastic green line remains
above its red line which is suggestive of higher price.

=20

Six of the eight EWs have been traced by price.  Wave B, the seventh Wave i=
s
not conclusively finished.  The eighth and final Wave C of the EW cycle has
not yet commenced.=20

=20

Weekly period identifies the 1, 2, and 3 corrective waves of Wave B.
Corrective have 3 waves, impulse have 5.  Formation of wave 1 results in a
RND which introduces Wave 2  corrective of Wave 1.  The low of Wave 2
results in a CPD which introduces Wave 3 B, (stochastic above its 40 line)
the high of which is not yet conclusively established.    The last weekly H=
A
candle is blue with a green bar within.  CND is traced incident to this
candle which may or may not mean lower price.

=20

Two relevant Fibonacci retracement studies suggest price may find a high at
either 78.6 or 127.2.  The green lines are standard deviation channel lines=
Price is at the upper line which may suggest  lower price within that
channel.

=20

In the weekly period divergences identify Wave 5 high.  First, stochastic
traces a RND between the double top.  Second, the double top then forms a
CND which is the correct order to identify a top.  Like point X low in the
monthly chart first a reverse divergence appears then followed by a classic
divergence locates that low.

=20

4 hour chart uses a standard deviation channel (SDC) consistent with that
period.  Most recent fractal highs failed to reach the upper channel line
and results in a CND.  There is also a longer term CND at the most recent
high, see the chart.  Prior to this divergence a RPD is traced by
stochastic.  Price  has generally traded within the channel.   Price may
well test the lower line or lower.

=20

4 hour EW analysis is almost identical to the monthly analysis.  EW and
price patterns traced in the longer time periods are often repeated in the
shorter periods and vice versa.   In the event the EW cycle is truncated or
incomplete in the 4 hour it will because longer term traders in the weekly
and monthly prevent its completion.  If the 4 hour EW C completes price
should minimally test the neck line or lower.

=20

1 hour EW analysis again looks similar to the 4 hour and monthly.  Price in
this period is tracing Wave C, the low of which is not conclusively
established.   If Wave C does not complete as anticipated  a longer cycle
will prevent its completion.=20=20

=20

A new SDC is placed in this period with a projected low at the lower line o=
r
lower.   The same sequence of divergences locates X low in this period as
was used in the longer periods.

=20

Comments;

=20

Pesavento and Gartley price patterns should also be considered incident to
the above analysis.

=20

The most common mistake regarding EW analysis occurs because the trader
fails to consider longer EW cycles which ultimately control cycles in
shorter periods.  This is the reason patterns truncate or actually fail to
complete their expected cycle.  As noted above Wave B high in the monthly
has not been be conclusively established.  A short trade present in this
chart is higher risk and of shorter duration depending on the hourly period
channel lines.  The short trade is against the monthly up cycle and must be
closely monitored.=20

=20

It is important to recognize that head and shoulder price patterns are most
helpful in correct counting of the EW cycle in any period considered.  Wave
3 always reports the highest oscillator value and always forms a CND
divergence with Wave 5 and later Wave B highs.  Wave 4 low always result in
an oscillator  RPD.  Point X, point of beginning may not be conclusively
identified until subsequent to formation of Wave 2 low.  That event also
results in a CPD which follows a prior RND.   This pattern of reverse and
classic divergences is repeated in all periods studied for both tops and
bottoms.=20=20

=20

Loren




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=20=20=20=20=20=20
=20=20=20=20=20=20
      <p>





<div class=3D"Section1">

<p class=3D"MsoNormal"><span style=3D"font-size:11.0pt;color:#1F497D;">Hi M=
ike,<o></o></span></p>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal"><span style=3D"font-size:11.0pt;color:#1F497D;"><o>&=
nbsp;</o></span></p>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal"><span style=3D"font-size:11.0pt;color:#1F497D;">&#82=
20;Elliott Wave Principle&#8221; by Prechter is necessary
for an understanding of the EW cycle and our work now for an indicator whic=
h
may be able to identify some of the EWs.<o></o></span></p>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal"><span style=3D"font-size:11.0pt;color:#1F497D;"><o>&=
nbsp;</o></span></p>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal"><span style=3D"font-size:11.0pt;color:#1F497D;">I at=
tach a daily chart of Cable.<o></o></span></p>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal"><span style=3D"font-size:11.0pt;color:#1F497D;"><o>&=
nbsp;</o></span></p>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal"><span style=3D"font-size:11.0pt;color:#1F497D;">Poin=
t X, at which the EW count begins is identified by a
specific series of different divergences.=A0 This point may not be confirme=
d
until subsequent to the low of Wave 2.=A0 <o></o></span></p>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal"><span style=3D"font-size:11.0pt;color:#1F497D;"><o>&=
nbsp;</o></span></p>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal"><span style=3D"font-size:11.0pt;color:#1F497D;">Frac=
tal highs and lows will be used in all divergence issues.=A0 I
use Stoch. because it is best in my opinion for this purpose although I als=
o
look at MACD but do not include that indicator in this discussion.<o></o></=
span></p>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal"><span style=3D"font-size:11.0pt;color:#1F497D;"><o>&=
nbsp;</o></span></p>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal"><span style=3D"font-size:11.0pt;color:#1F497D;">The =
indicator must remember the Stoch. =A0values at fractal highs
and lows as noted on this chart for all divergences recognition functions.=
=A0=A0=A0 You
should be familiar with both classic and reverse divergences and their
implications.=A0 If you need articles pertaining to each please advise and =
I will
forward.=A0 In this regard I have posted separate articles by Pring and Sta=
r and they
are available in the files section of the MT4 board.=A0=A0=A0=A0=A0=A0=A0 <=
o></o></span></p>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal"><span style=3D"font-size:11.0pt;color:#1F497D;"><o>&=
nbsp;</o></span></p>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal"><span style=3D"font-size:11.0pt;color:#1F497D;">The =
first RND recognizes a lower fractal price at Wave 1 high
while the indicator value is higher than the next previous fractal price hi=
gh,
marked on chart.=A0 Thereafter price moves lower to a fractal low higher, p=
oint 2
than the fractal low at point X.=A0=A0=A0 Point 2 low is compared to a prio=
r higher
fractal low to the left of point X, and results in a CPD.=A0 These two diff=
erent divergences
identify =A0Wave 2 low and confirm point X as the starting point of a new E=
W
cycle in this period. =A0Wave 2 low introduces the probable longest Wave 3.=
=A0 Wave
3 is the most frequently and extended wave as shown here, although not alwa=
ys.<o></o></span></p>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal"><span style=3D"font-size:11.0pt;color:#1F497D;"><o>&=
nbsp;</o></span></p>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal"><span style=3D"font-size:11.0pt;color:#1F497D;">Wave=
 3 fractal high will always result in the highest Stoch.
value in the EW cycle.=A0 An indicator must remember Stoch. values during t=
he
complete EW cycle.=A0 Extended Wave 3 or 5 will always result in a CND as n=
oted
in this chart.=A0 During Wave 3 formation Stoch values will ordinarily rema=
in at
or above its 20 line.=A0 An obvious problem is that the highest Stoch. valu=
e may
only be determined as a=A0 historical event which does not necessary mean t=
he
high price value.=A0 Often price moves higher subsequent to the highest Sto=
ch. value.<o></o></span></p>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal"><span style=3D"font-size:11.0pt;color:#1F497D;"><o>&=
nbsp;</o></span></p>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal"><span style=3D"font-size:11.0pt;color:#1F497D;">Wave=
 4 low generally reports a Stoch. value below its 20 line
but not always.=A0 Generally there is a RPD at 4 low as shown in this examp=
le.=A0
This divergences introduced =A0Wave 5.=A0 Ordinarily Wave 5 price high is h=
igher
than Wave 3 price high but not always.=A0 There must=A0 always be a CND bet=
ween Wave
3 and 5.=A0 Stoch value at Wave 3 high must always be higher than Wave B St=
och. value.<o></o></span></p>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal"><span style=3D"font-size:11.0pt;color:#1F497D;"><o>&=
nbsp;</o></span></p>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal"><span style=3D"font-size:11.0pt;color:#1F497D;">Ther=
e are 4 corrective patterns, the easiest to recognize is a
zig zag, A, B and C pattern (waves 6, 7 and 8).=A0 There are other much mor=
e
difficult corrective patterns which in my view cannot be programmed.=A0 Thi=
s
price pattern suggests that we will see a combination double or triple zig =
zag
correction, one that cannot be programmed.=A0 <o></o></span></p>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal"><span style=3D"font-size:11.0pt;color:#1F497D;"><o>&=
nbsp;</o></span></p>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal"><span style=3D"font-size:11.0pt;color:#1F497D;">The =
first 5 waves are easiest to recognize.=A0 The last 3 or more
corrective wave patterns are impossible to program because of their uncerta=
inty
in my opinion.<o></o></span></p>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal"><span style=3D"font-size:11.0pt;color:#1F497D;"><o>&=
nbsp;</o></span></p>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal"><span style=3D"font-size:11.0pt;color:#1F497D;">In t=
his chart I am long during expected Wave B.=A0 This Wave should
not be traded unless the trader closely monitors a long position.=A0 As a g=
eneral
proposition Wave B is to be avoided since it is a false rally.<o></o></span=
></p>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal"><span style=3D"font-size:11.0pt;color:#1F497D;"><o>&=
nbsp;</o></span></p>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal"><span style=3D"font-size:11.0pt;color:#1F497D;">The =
best that any indicator can do is historically document
certain points in the EW cycle except for Wave 2 low.=A0 =A0=A0A trader can=
 make a
good living trading only wave 3 in various pairs.=A0 Generally one or more =
pairs
is somewhere in wave 3 on a daily or weekly basis.=A0 If your indicator doe=
s
nothing more than identify Wave 2 low it will be a success.=A0 Thank you fo=
r your
interest in coding this indicator.<o></o></span></p>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal"><span style=3D"font-size:11.0pt;color:#1F497D;"><o>&=
nbsp;</o></span></p>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal"><span style=3D"font-size:11.0pt;color:#1F497D;">Lore=
n<o></o></span></p>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal"><span style=3D"font-size:11.0pt;color:#1F497D;"><o>&=
nbsp;</o></span></p>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal"><span style=3D"font-size:11.0pt;color:#1F497D;"><o>&=
nbsp;</o></span></p>

<div>

<div style=3D"border-top:solid #B5C4DF 1.0pt;">

<p class=3D"MsoNormal"><b><span style=3D"font-size:10.0pt;">From:</span></b=
><span style=3D"font-size:10.0pt;"> Nguyen, Mike
[mailto:Mikey@<wbr>college.ucla.<wbr>edu] <br>
<b>Sent:</b> Friday, December 11, 2009 1:26 AM<br>
<b>To:</b> Loren Morlan<br>
<b>Subject:</b> RE: Programmer for Your indicator<o></o></span></p>

</div>

</div>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal"><o>&nbsp;</o></p>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal"><span style=3D"font-size:10.0pt;color:blue;">Hi Lore=
n,</span><o></o></p>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal">&nbsp;<o></o></p>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal"><span style=3D"font-size:10.0pt;color:blue;">I defin=
itely understand what you are talking about. Trying to
determine when a wave start or end can be very subjective, depending on who=
 you
ask. I've often thought about where to start, how to programmatically appro=
ximate
the beginning/ending of a wave and which wave it is. I think counting backw=
ards
from the current bar to detect the first instance of Waves 3, 5, A, and C i=
s a
good start, it will help remove the subjectivity.&nbsp;</span><o></o></p>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal">&nbsp;<o></o></p>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal"><span style=3D"font-size:10.0pt;color:blue;">Do you =
think programmatically calculating the peaks and valleys of
the AO is a good approximation? Or should I start looking at the indicator =
you
sent out before, the 3_level_ZZ_semafor_<wbr>TRO_Modified_<wbr>version.mq4 =
indicator?
When you eyeball the 3_level_zz indicator, is it accurate enough? Maybe we =
can
use this to start out from?</span><o></o></p>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal">&nbsp;<o></o></p>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal"><span style=3D"font-size:10.0pt;color:blue;">Mike</s=
pan><o></o></p>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal">&nbsp;<o></o></p>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal">&nbsp;<o></o></p>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal">&nbsp;<o></o></p>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal"><o>&nbsp;</o></p>

<div class=3D"MsoNormal" align=3D"center" style=3D"text-align:center;">

<hr size=3D"2" width=3D"100%" align=3D"center">

</div>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal"><b><span style=3D"font-size:10.0pt;">From:</span></b=
><span style=3D"font-size:10.0pt;"> Loren Morlan
[mailto:gmorlan@<wbr>tampabay.<wbr>rr.com] <br>
<b>Sent:</b> Wednesday, December 09, 2009 9:37 AM<br>
<b>To:</b> Nguyen, Mike<br>
<b>Subject:</b> RE: Programmer for Your indicator</span><o></o></p>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal"><span style=3D"font-size:11.0pt;color:#1F497D;">Hell=
o Mike,<o></o></span></p>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal"><span style=3D"font-size:11.0pt;color:#1F497D;">Than=
k you for the offer, I will think about this issue.<o></o></span></p>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal"><span style=3D"font-size:11.0pt;color:#1F497D;"><o>&=
nbsp;</o></span></p>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal"><span style=3D"font-size:11.0pt;color:#1F497D;">As y=
ou have noted in my charts I use Elliott Wave analysis to
trade Waves 3, 5, A and C in various time periods.&nbsp; I do not think it =
is
possible to accurately capture this analysis in an indicator.&nbsp; I do
however think it is possible to identify the lows of Wave 2 and 4, both of
which introduce the best two motive waves for trading in the initial EW
cycle.&nbsp; &nbsp;It is much more difficult for an indicator to trade the
corrective patterns subsequent to Wave 5.&nbsp; <o></o></span></p>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal"><span style=3D"font-size:11.0pt;color:#1F497D;"><o>&=
nbsp;</o></span></p>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal"><span style=3D"font-size:11.0pt;color:#1F497D;">Trad=
ers often limit trading to only Wave 3 and 5.&nbsp; <o></o></span></p>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal"><span style=3D"font-size:11.0pt;color:#1F497D;"><o>&=
nbsp;</o></span></p>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal"><span style=3D"font-size:11.0pt;color:#1F497D;">If y=
ou have any interest in such an indicator please advise.<o></o></span></p>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal"><span style=3D"font-size:11.0pt;color:#1F497D;">Lore=
n<o></o></span></p>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal"><span style=3D"font-size:11.0pt;color:#1F497D;"><o>&=
nbsp;</o></span></p>

<div>

<div style=3D"border-top:solid #B5C4DF 1.0pt;">

<p class=3D"MsoNormal"><b><span style=3D"font-size:10.0pt;">From:</span></b=
><span style=3D"font-size:10.0pt;"> Nguyen, Mike
[mailto:Mikey@<wbr>college.ucla.<wbr>edu] <br>
<b>Sent:</b> Tuesday, December 08, 2009 6:27 PM<br>
<b>To:</b> gmorlan@tampabay.<wbr>rr.com<br>
<b>Subject:</b> Programmer for Your indicator<o></o></span></p>

</div>

</div>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal"><o>&nbsp;</o></p>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal"><span style=3D"font-size:11.0pt;color:#1F497D;">Hi L=
oren,<o></o></span></p>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal"><span style=3D"font-size:11.0pt;color:#1F497D;"><o>&=
nbsp;</o></span></p>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal"><span style=3D"font-size:11.0pt;color:#1F497D;">I fe=
el you&#8217;ve freely shared your knowledge and I&#8217;ve
learned a lot from reading your emails. The least I can do is try to
reciprocate and offer to program your indicator (to give back what I can). =
<o></o></span></p>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal"><span style=3D"font-size:11.0pt;color:#1F497D;"><o>&=
nbsp;</o></span></p>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal"><span style=3D"font-size:11.0pt;color:#1F497D;">I wo=
rk at UCLA and have a BS in computer science. I&#8217;ve
been developing on the MT4 platform for about 3 years, have written several=
 COT
indicators (and its own web service to power those indicators), my own news
indicator, and a dozen other indicators. If you feel that you want a indica=
tor
written to your specifications, we can have a conference call and try to ma=
ke
that happen (free of charge of course).<o></o></span></p>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal"><span style=3D"font-size:11.0pt;color:#1F497D;"><o>&=
nbsp;</o></span></p>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal"><span style=3D"font-size:11.0pt;color:#1F497D;">Plea=
se let me know if you are interested, I would like to help
where I can.<o></o></span></p>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal"><span style=3D"font-size:11.0pt;color:#1F497D;"><o>&=
nbsp;</o></span></p>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal"><span style=3D"font-size:11.0pt;color:#1F497D;">Happ=
y Holidays,<o></o></span></p>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal"><span style=3D"font-size:11.0pt;color:#1F497D;"><o>&=
nbsp;</o></span></p>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal"><span style=3D"font-size:11.0pt;color:#1F497D;">Mike=
<o></o></span></p>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal"><span style=3D"font-size:11.0pt;color:#1F497D;"><o>&=
nbsp;</o></span></p>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal"><span style=3D"font-size:11.0pt;color:#1F497D;"><o>&=
nbsp;</o></span></p>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal"><span style=3D"font-size:11.0pt;color:#1F497D;"><o>&=
nbsp;</o></span></p>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal"><span style=3D"font-size:11.0pt;color:#1F497D;"><o>&=
nbsp;</o></span></p>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal"><span style=3D"font-size:11.0pt;color:#1F497D;"><o>&=
nbsp;</o></span></p>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal"><span style=3D"font-size:11.0pt;color:#1F497D;"><o>&=
nbsp;</o></span></p>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal"><span style=3D"font-size:11.0pt;color:#1F497D;"><o>&=
nbsp;</o></span></p>

<div>

<div style=3D"border-top:solid #B5C4DF 1.0pt;">

<p class=3D"MsoNormal"><b><span style=3D"font-size:10.0pt;">From:</span></b=
><span style=3D"font-size:10.0pt;"> MetaTrader_Experts_<wbr>and_Indicators@=
<wbr>yahoogroups.<wbr>com
[mailto:MetaTrader_<wbr>Experts_and_<wbr>Indicators@<wbr>yahoogroups.<wbr>c=
om] <b>On Behalf Of </b>Loren
Morlan<br>
<b>Sent:</b> Friday, December 04, 2009 1:08 PM<br>
<b>To:</b> MetaTrader_Experts_<wbr>and_Indicators@<wbr>yahoogroups.<wbr>com=
<br>
<b>Subject:</b> RE: [MT_E and I] EUR/USD, 12/2/09, Elliott Wave and diverge=
nce
analysis<o></o></span></p>

</div>

</div>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal"><o>&nbsp;</o></p>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal">&nbsp; <o></o></p>

<div id=3D"ygrp-mlmsg">

<div id=3D"ygrp-msg">

<div id=3D"ygrp-text">

<div>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal"><span style=3D"font-size:11.0pt;color:#1F497D;">Some=
times discrete stocks, gold and
other commodities.&nbsp; No, I have no regular blog except this board and t=
he
divergence board.&nbsp; </span><o></o></p>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal"><span style=3D"font-size:11.0pt;color:#1F497D;">&nbs=
p;</span><o></o></p>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal"><span style=3D"font-size:11.0pt;color:#1F497D;">I do=
 not know enough about coding or the
abilities of a programmer to express an opinion re an&nbsp; indicator.&nbsp=
; It
would however seem to me that anything I can do mechanically can be reprodu=
ced
by a programmer.&nbsp; Since I know how to analyze/trade I am not going to =
pay
a programmer to reduce this method to an indicator.</span><o></o></p>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal"><span style=3D"font-size:11.0pt;color:#1F497D;">&nbs=
p;</span><o></o></p>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal"><span style=3D"font-size:11.0pt;color:#1F497D;">Lore=
n</span><o></o></p>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal"><span style=3D"font-size:11.0pt;color:#1F497D;">&nbs=
p;</span><o></o></p>

<div>

<div style=3D"border-top:solid #B5C4DF 1.0pt;">

<p class=3D"MsoNormal"><b><span style=3D"font-size:10.0pt;">From:</span></b=
><span style=3D"font-size:10.0pt;">
MetaTrader_Experts_<wbr>and_Indicators@<wbr>yahoogroups.<wbr>com
[mailto:MetaTrader_<wbr>Experts_and_<wbr>Indicators@<wbr>yahoogroups.<wbr>c=
om] <b>On Behalf Of </b>Peter
Wu<br>
<b>Sent:</b> Friday, December 04, 2009 2:03 PM<br>
<b>To:</b> MetaTrader_Experts_<wbr>and_Indicators@<wbr>yahoogroups.<wbr>com=
<br>
<b>Subject:</b> RE: [MT_E and I] EUR/USD, 12/2/09, Elliott Wave and diverge=
nce
analysis</span><o></o></p>

</div>

</div>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal">&nbsp;<o></o></p>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal">&nbsp;
<o></o></p>

<div id=3D"ygrp-mlmsg">

<div id=3D"ygrp-msg">

<div id=3D"ygrp-text">

<div>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal"><span style=3D"font-size:11.0pt;color:blue;">Loren,<=
/span><o></o></p>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal"><span style=3D"font-size:11.0pt;color:blue;">&nbsp;<=
/span><o></o></p>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal"><span style=3D"font-size:11.0pt;color:blue;">Your EW=
 analysis is dead-on. Great work! Do
you have a blog for people to reference? Also, do you analyze the stock mar=
ket?
Wish your knowledge and skills can be implemented into an indicator.</span>=
<o></o></p>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal"><span style=3D"font-size:11.0pt;color:blue;">&nbsp;<=
/span><o></o></p>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal"><span style=3D"font-size:11.0pt;color:blue;">Regards=
,</span><o></o></p>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal"><span style=3D"font-size:11.0pt;color:blue;">Peter</=
span><o></o></p>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal"><span style=3D"font-size:11.0pt;color:blue;">&nbsp;<=
/span><o></o></p>

<div>

<div class=3D"MsoNormal" align=3D"center" style=3D"text-align:center;">

<hr size=3D"2" width=3D"100%" align=3D"center">

</div>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal"><b><span style=3D"font-size:10.0pt;">From:</span></b=
><span style=3D"font-size:10.0pt;">
MetaTrader_Experts_<wbr>and_Indicators@<wbr>yahoogroups.<wbr>com [mailto:Me=
taTrader_<wbr>Experts_and_<wbr>Indicators@<wbr>yahoogroups.<wbr>com]
<b>On Behalf Of </b>Loren Morlan<br>
<b>Sent:</b> Wednesday, December 02, 2009 2:02 PM<br>
<b>To:</b> Divergence@yahoogro<wbr>ups.com<br>
<b>Subject:</b> [MT_E and I] EUR/USD, 12/2/09, Elliott Wave and divergence
analysis</span><o></o></p>

</div>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal">&nbsp;<o></o></p>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal">&nbsp;
<o></o></p>

<div id=3D"ygrp-mlmsg">

<div id=3D"ygrp-msg">

<div id=3D"ygrp-text">

<div>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal">Multiple
period charts are attached.<o></o></p>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal">&nbsp;<o></o></p>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal">Monthly
Elliott Wave analysis is most important because it controls EW count in sho=
rter
periods.&nbsp; &nbsp;Whenever a truncated EW pattern is observed it is beca=
use
a longer period has prevented the shorter pattern completion.<o></o></p>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal">&nbsp;<o></o></p>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal">The
stochastic oscillator is used in these chart examples although other
oscillators like RSI, CCI, MACD may also be used.<o></o></p>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal">&nbsp;<o></o></p>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal">Point
&nbsp;&#8220;X&#8221; cannot &nbsp;be confirmed as the low until subsequent=
 to
point 2 of the Elliott wave cycle.&nbsp; There must always be a pattern of =
RND
and CPD to identify a trend change incident to a new Elliott wave cycle.&nb=
sp;
The first RND at the high of impulse Wave 1 identifies aggressive buying
activity of long traders incident to a new EW cycle. &nbsp;This RND suggest=
s
lower price incident to formation of corrective Wave 2 fractal low which
generates a CPD suggesting higher price incident to impulse Wave 3.&nbsp; W=
ave
3 is typically the longest but is never the shortest Wave.&nbsp; <o></o></p=
>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal">&nbsp;<o></o></p>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal">Wave
3 is the most often extended wave but not in this example.&nbsp; Wave 3 alw=
ays
has the highest oscillator value and later forms CNDs between Wave 5 and B
highs which are present in this chart.&nbsp; Often Stochastic remains
above&nbsp; its 40 line during Wave 3 formation as shown in this example.&n=
bsp;
&nbsp;Corrective Wave 4 fractal low is identified when oscillator values fa=
ll
at or below 20 and form a RPD, an introduction to impulse Wave 5.&nbsp;&nbs=
p;
Wave 5 (Stochastic values above its 40 line) formed a double top and CND
introducing impulse Wave A which is corrective of the prior up cycle starti=
ng
at point X.&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp;Like Wave 4, oscillator values fall at or bel=
ow
the 20 line and form the neck line of the upright head and shoulder pattern
being traced currently.&nbsp; Although not marked there is another RPD at A=
 low
and a previous lower low which suggests higher price incident to formation =
of corrective
wave B, the high of which is not yet conclusively identified.&nbsp; It is
possible that price will test Fibonacci 78.6 at 1.52443 or higher including
another double or triple top at Wave 5 high.&nbsp; <o></o></p>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal">&nbsp;<o></o></p>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal">The
most recent HA candle traces a green bar within the body of the candle, wit=
h a
current close higher than its open.&nbsp; Stochastic green line remains abo=
ve
its red line which is suggestive of higher price.<o></o></p>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal">&nbsp;<o></o></p>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal">Six
of the eight EWs have been traced by price.&nbsp; Wave B, the seventh Wave =
is
not conclusively finished.&nbsp; The eighth and final Wave C of the EW cycl=
e
has not yet commenced. <o></o></p>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal">&nbsp;<o></o></p>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal">Weekly
period identifies the 1, 2, and 3 corrective waves of Wave B.&nbsp; Correct=
ive
have 3 waves, impulse have 5.&nbsp; Formation of wave 1 results in a RND wh=
ich
introduces Wave 2 &nbsp;corrective of Wave 1.&nbsp; The low of Wave 2 resul=
ts
in a CPD which introduces Wave 3 B, (stochastic above its 40 line) the high=
 of
which is not yet conclusively established.&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; The last weekl=
y HA
candle is blue with a green bar within.&nbsp; CND is traced incident to thi=
s
candle which may or may not mean lower price.<o></o></p>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal">&nbsp;<o></o></p>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal">Two
relevant Fibonacci retracement studies suggest price may find a high at eit=
her
78.6 or 127.2.&nbsp; The green lines are standard deviation channel
lines.&nbsp; Price is at the upper line which may suggest &nbsp;lower price=
 within
that channel.<o></o></p>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal">&nbsp;<o></o></p>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal">In
the weekly period divergences identify Wave 5 high.&nbsp; First, stochastic
traces a RND between the double top.&nbsp; Second, the double top then form=
s a
CND which is the correct order to identify a top.&nbsp; Like point X low in=
 the
monthly chart first a reverse divergence appears then followed by a classic
divergence locates that low.<o></o></p>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal">&nbsp;<o></o></p>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal">4
hour chart uses a standard deviation channel (SDC) consistent with that
period.&nbsp; Most recent fractal highs failed to reach the upper channel l=
ine
and results in a CND.&nbsp; There is also a longer term CND at the most rec=
ent
high, see the chart.&nbsp; Prior to this divergence a RPD is traced by
stochastic.&nbsp; Price&nbsp; has generally traded within the
channel.&nbsp;&nbsp; Price may well test the lower line or lower.<o></o></p=
>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal">&nbsp;<o></o></p>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal">4
hour EW analysis is almost identical to the monthly analysis.&nbsp; EW and
price patterns traced in the longer time periods are often repeated in the
shorter periods and vice versa.&nbsp; &nbsp;In the event the EW cycle is
truncated or incomplete in the 4 hour it will because longer term traders i=
n
the weekly and monthly prevent its completion.&nbsp; If the 4 hour EW C
completes price should minimally test the neck line or lower.<o></o></p>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal">&nbsp;<o></o></p>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal">1
hour EW analysis again looks similar to the 4 hour and monthly.&nbsp; Price=
 in
this period is tracing Wave C, the low of which is not conclusively
established.&nbsp;&nbsp; If Wave C does not complete as anticipated &nbsp;a
longer cycle will prevent its completion.&nbsp; <o></o></p>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal">&nbsp;<o></o></p>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal">A
new SDC is placed in this period with a projected low at the lower line or
lower.&nbsp;&nbsp; The same sequence of divergences locates X low in this
period as was used in the longer periods.<o></o></p>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal">&nbsp;<o></o></p>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal">Comments;<o></o></p>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal">&nbsp;<o></o></p>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal">Pesavento
and Gartley price patterns should also be considered incident to the above
analysis.<o></o></p>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal">&nbsp;<o></o></p>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal">The
most common mistake regarding EW analysis occurs because the trader fails t=
o
consider longer EW cycles which ultimately control cycles in shorter
periods.&nbsp; This is the reason patterns truncate or actually fail to
complete their expected cycle.&nbsp; As noted above Wave B high in the mont=
hly
has not been be conclusively established.&nbsp; A short trade present in th=
is
chart is higher risk and of shorter duration depending on the hourly period
channel lines.&nbsp; The short trade is against the monthly up cycle and mu=
st
be closely monitored. <o></o></p>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal">&nbsp;<o></o></p>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal">It
is important to recognize that head and shoulder price patterns are most
helpful in correct counting of the EW cycle in any period considered.&nbsp;
Wave 3 always reports the highest oscillator value and always forms a CND
divergence with Wave 5 and later Wave B highs.&nbsp; Wave 4 low always resu=
lt
in an oscillator &nbsp;RPD.&nbsp; Point X, point of beginning may not be
conclusively identified until subsequent to formation of Wave 2 low.&nbsp; =
That
event also results in a CPD which follows a prior RND.&nbsp; &nbsp;This pat=
tern
of reverse and classic divergences is repeated in all periods studied for b=
oth
tops and bottoms.&nbsp; <o></o></p>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal">&nbsp;<o></o></p>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal">Loren<o></o></p>

</div>

</div>

</div>

</div>

</div>

</div>

</div>

</div>

</div>

</div>

<div>

<p class=3D"MsoNormal"><span style=3D"color:white;"><o></o></span></p>

</div>

</div>




</div></div></p>

    </div>
=20=20=20=20=20

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