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To: 'Al Snyder' <snydersearch@msn.com>
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From: Loren Morlan <gmorlan@tampabay.rr.com>
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Date: Sun, 9 Dec 2007 15:30:19 -0500
Subject: [MT_E and I] RE: GBP/USD/ 12/9/07 long term Elliott Wave analysis
Reply-To: MetaTrader_Experts_and_Indicators@yahoogroups.com
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Al,

 

Yes,  we agree on the count.  Your question is pertinent regarding future
price action.

 

I do not know the answer to your question since EW count and AO are not
predictive of future price action in this example.  There are no divergences
at the recent high like the one described at Wave I high.

 

I speculate that the present Wave III will be an extended Wave and that
price will ultimately violate the upper LRC line however that could be many
months or years in the future.   Typically Wave III high will penetrate
above the upper LRC line which has not yet occurred.   This is to say the
present Wave III has not yet completed its expected high according to LRC
analysis.  

 

Presently a monthly red AO line and HA red candle has formed at sub wave 5
high suggesting a down corrective cycle of unknown duration and magnitude.
We may possible again test highs in this monthly period or not.

 

Use of expanded 1, 5, 10, 30 or 60 minute Elliott Wave analysis will be
instructive regarding lower DD trades in those periods.

 

I posted a Cable one minute chart on 12/6/07, which showed a double top and
truncated  Wave 5 high which is consistence with the monthly red bar and HA
candle.  The final shape and color of the last HA candle is unknown.  Its
present shape and color suggests "change" in price action and is therefore a
warning of higher risk trades.  Best to look elsewhere for a friendly
trading environment.

 

Loren

 

From: Al Snyder [mailto:snydersearch@msn.com] 
Sent: Sunday, December 09, 2007 2:09 PM
To: Loren Morlan
Subject: Re: GBP/USD/ 12/9/07 long term Elliott Wave analysis

 

Loren

My long term count and yours are in agreement. My only question at this
moment is on the smaller waves count within the monthly wave 5: Have we
indeed reached the wave 5 of wave 5, or are we expecting a final impulse
after the current correction... to complete larger wave 5.

Al

PS-Fibonacci is a beautiful thing

 

 

----- Original Message ----- 

From: Loren Morlan <mailto:gmorlan@tampabay.rr.com>  

To: snydersearch@msn.com 

Sent: Sunday, December 09, 2007 1:09 PM

Subject: GBP/USD/ 12/9/07 long term Elliott Wave analysis

 

Hello Al, per our conversation I have prepared the attach chart which counts
Elliott Waves in this period.

 

The attach monthly Cable chart using LRC lines and AO for Elliott Wave
count.  A/D is not used on this chart.

 

The chart price low in Feb, 1985 starts the EW count and serves as point of
beginning for LRC lines.  

 

Wave I shows five sub-waves with an extended 5th wave double top.  Wave I
does not reach the upper LRC line.  

 

Williams' AO counts each sub-wave.  

 

Wave 1 impulse, green vertical lines above zero.  

 

Wave 2 corrective red lines.  

 

Wave 3 impulse shows highest green line value which identifies the high of
this wave.  

 

Wave 4 corrective red lines below AO zero line and HA candles finding
support at the middle LRC line.

 

Wave 5 green lines above zero and lower than Wave 3.  Wave 5 is extended and
forms a double top with a classic negative divergence in the AO indicator.

 

The three remaining  a, b and c corrective waves are marked on the chart.
These eight waves constitute the complete eight wave EW count/cycle.

 

Wave A is an impulse corrective wave.  B is corrective of Wave A and finds
resistance at the middle LRC line.  Wave C is an impulse corrective wave and
identifies the end of Wave II a corrective cycle.  AO traces the A, B C
correction cycle with Wave C low forming a classic positive divergence when
compared with Wave A low.  Importantly Wave II low is Fibonacci 61.8
correction of the previous impulse Wave I.    61.8 is a frequent retracement
level of Wave II.

 

Subsequent to Wave II low Wave III has started.  

 

AO counts each sub Wave.  Wave 3 produces the highest AO value.  Wave 4
again finds support at the middle LRC line and AO red lines below zero which
suggests its completion.

 

Presently price is in sub Wave 5 and has generated a red AO line and the
first red HA candle.  

 

Loren

 

 


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            <p>





<div class="Section1">

<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="color:#1F497D;">Al,<o></o></span></p>

<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="color:#1F497D;"><o>&nbsp;</o></span></p>

<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="color:#1F497D;">Yes, &nbsp;we agree on the count.&nbsp;
Your question is pertinent regarding future price action.<o></o></span></p>

<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="color:#1F497D;"><o>&nbsp;</o></span></p>

<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="color:#1F497D;">I do not know the answer to your
question since EW count and AO are not predictive of future price action in
this example.&nbsp; There are no divergences at the recent high like the one described
at Wave I high.<o></o></span></p>

<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="color:#1F497D;"><o>&nbsp;</o></span></p>

<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="color:#1F497D;">I speculate that the present
Wave III will be an extended Wave and that price will ultimately violate the
upper LRC line however that could be many months or years in the future.&nbsp; &nbsp;Typically
Wave III high will penetrate above the upper LRC line which has not yet
occurred.&nbsp; &nbsp;This is to say the present Wave III has not yet completed
its expected high according to LRC analysis.&nbsp; <o></o></span></p>

<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="color:#1F497D;"><o>&nbsp;</o></span></p>

<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="color:#1F497D;">Presently a monthly red AO line
and HA red candle has formed at sub wave 5 high suggesting a down corrective cycle
of unknown duration and magnitude.&nbsp; We may possible again test highs in
this monthly period or not.<o></o></span></p>

<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="color:#1F497D;"><o>&nbsp;</o></span></p>

<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="color:#1F497D;">Use of expanded 1, 5, 10, 30 or
60 minute Elliott Wave analysis will be instructive regarding lower DD trades
in those periods.<o></o></span></p>

<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="color:#1F497D;"><o>&nbsp;</o></span></p>

<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="color:#1F497D;">I posted a Cable one minute chart
on 12/6/07, which showed a double top and truncated&nbsp; Wave 5 high which is consistence
with the monthly red bar and HA candle.&nbsp; The final shape and color of the last
HA candle is unknown.&nbsp; Its present shape and color suggests &#8220;change&#8221;
in price action and is therefore a warning of higher risk trades.&nbsp; Best to
look elsewhere for a friendly trading environment.<o></o></span></p>

<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="color:#1F497D;"><o>&nbsp;</o></span></p>

<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="color:#1F497D;">Loren<o></o></span></p>

<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="color:#1F497D;"><o>&nbsp;</o></span></p>

<div>

<div style="border-top:solid #B5C4DF 1.0pt;">

<p class="MsoNormal"><b><span style="font-size:10.0pt;">From:</span></b><span style="font-size:10.0pt;"> Al Snyder
[mailto:snydersearc<wbr>h@msn.com] <br>
<b>Sent:</b> Sunday, December 09, 2007 2:09 PM<br>
<b>To:</b> Loren Morlan<br>
<b>Subject:</b> Re: GBP/USD/ 12/9/07 long term Elliott Wave analysis<o></o></span></p>

</div>

</div>

<p class="MsoNormal"><o>&nbsp;</o></p>

<div>

<div>

<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:10.0pt;color:black;">Loren<o></o></span></p>

</div>

<div>

<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:10.0pt;color:black;">My long term count and yours are in agreement. My only question at
this moment is on the smaller waves count within the monthly wave 5: Have we
indeed reached the wave 5 of wave 5, or are we expecting a final impulse after
the current correction..<wbr>. to complete larger wave 5.<o></o></span></p>

</div>

<div>

<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:10.0pt;color:black;">Al<o></o></span></p>

</div>

<div>

<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:10.0pt;color:black;">PS-Fibonacci is a beautiful thing<o></o></span></p>

</div>

<div>

<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:10.0pt;color:black;">&nbsp;<o></o></span></p>

</div>

<div>

<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:10.0pt;color:black;">&nbsp;<o></o></span></p>

</div>

<div>

<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:10.0pt;color:black;">----- Original Message ----- <o></o></span></p>

</div>

<blockquote style="border-left:solid black 1.5pt;">

<div>

<p class="MsoNormal"><b><span style="font-size:10.0pt;color:black;">From:</span></b><span style="font-size:10.0pt;color:black;"> <a href="mailto:gmorlan@tampabay.rr.com" title="mailto:gmorlan@tampabay.rr.com">Loren Morlan</a> <o></o></span></p>

</div>

<div>

<p class="MsoNormal"><b><span style="font-size:10.0pt;color:black;">To:</span></b><span style="font-size:10.0pt;color:black;"> <a href="mailto:snydersearch@msn.com" title="mailto:snydersearch@msn.com">snydersearch@<wbr>msn.com</a> <o></o></span></p>

</div>

<div>

<p class="MsoNormal"><b><span style="font-size:10.0pt;color:black;">Sent:</span></b><span style="font-size:10.0pt;color:black;"> Sunday, December 09, 2007 1:09 PM<o></o></span></p>

</div>

<div>

<p class="MsoNormal"><b><span style="font-size:10.0pt;color:black;">Subject:</span></b><span style="font-size:10.0pt;color:black;"> GBP/USD/ 12/9/07 long term Elliott Wave analysis<o></o></span></p>

</div>

<div>

<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:10.0pt;color:black;"><o>&nbsp;</o></span></p>

</div>

<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="color:black;">Hello Al, per our conversation I
have prepared the attach chart which counts Elliott Waves in this period.<o></o></span></p>

<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="color:black;">&nbsp;<o></o></span></p>

<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="color:black;">The attach monthly Cable chart
using LRC lines and AO for Elliott Wave count.&nbsp; A/D is not used on this
chart.<o></o></span></p>

<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="color:black;">&nbsp;<o></o></span></p>

<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="color:black;">The chart price low in Feb, 1985
starts the EW count and serves as point of beginning for LRC lines.&nbsp; <o></o></span></p>

<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="color:black;">&nbsp;<o></o></span></p>

<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="color:black;">Wave I shows five sub-waves with
an extended 5<sup>th</sup> wave double top.&nbsp; Wave I does not reach the
upper LRC line.&nbsp; <o></o></span></p>

<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="color:black;">&nbsp;<o></o></span></p>

<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="color:black;">Williams&#8217; AO counts each
sub-wave.&nbsp; <o></o></span></p>

<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="color:black;">&nbsp;<o></o></span></p>

<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="color:black;">Wave 1 impulse, green vertical
lines above zero.&nbsp; <o></o></span></p>

<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="color:black;">&nbsp;<o></o></span></p>

<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="color:black;">Wave 2 corrective red lines. &nbsp;<o></o></span></p>

<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="color:black;">&nbsp;<o></o></span></p>

<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="color:black;">Wave 3 impulse shows highest green
line value which identifies the high of this wave.&nbsp; <o></o></span></p>

<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="color:black;">&nbsp;<o></o></span></p>

<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="color:black;">Wave 4 corrective red lines below
AO zero line and HA candles finding support at the middle LRC line.<o></o></span></p>

<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="color:black;">&nbsp;<o></o></span></p>

<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="color:black;">Wave 5 green lines above zero and
lower than Wave 3.&nbsp; Wave 5 is extended and forms a double top with a
classic negative divergence in the AO indicator.<o></o></span></p>

<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="color:black;">&nbsp;<o></o></span></p>

<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="color:black;">The three remaining&nbsp; a, b and
c corrective waves are marked on the chart.&nbsp; These eight waves constitute
the complete eight wave EW count/cycle.<o></o></span></p>

<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="color:black;">&nbsp;<o></o></span></p>

<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="color:black;">Wave A is an impulse corrective
wave.&nbsp; B is corrective of Wave A and finds resistance at the middle LRC
line.&nbsp; Wave C is an impulse corrective wave and identifies the end of Wave
II a corrective cycle.&nbsp; AO traces the A, B C correction cycle with Wave C
low forming a classic positive divergence when compared with Wave A low.&nbsp;
Importantly Wave II low is Fibonacci 61.8 correction of the previous impulse
Wave I.&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp;61.8 is a frequent retracement level of Wave II.<o></o></span></p>

<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="color:black;">&nbsp;<o></o></span></p>

<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="color:black;">Subsequent to Wave II low Wave III
has started.&nbsp; <o></o></span></p>

<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="color:black;">&nbsp;<o></o></span></p>

<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="color:black;">AO counts each sub Wave.&nbsp;
Wave 3 produces the highest AO value.&nbsp; Wave 4 again finds support at the
middle LRC line and AO red lines below zero which suggests its completion.<o></o></span></p>

<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="color:black;">&nbsp;<o></o></span></p>

<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="color:black;">Presently price is in sub Wave 5
and has generated a red AO line and the first red HA candle.&nbsp; <o></o></span></p>

<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="color:black;">&nbsp;<o></o></span></p>

<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="color:black;">Loren<o></o></span></p>

<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="color:black;">&nbsp;<o></o></span></p>

<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="color:black;">&nbsp;<o></o></span></p>

</blockquote>

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